Tropical Update with J7409 FL to LA Pay Attention. watch
REMEMBER THIS CAN CHANGE......................
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles south-southwest of
Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Karen, located just west of the
southern Windward Islands.
1. Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has
formed in association with a strong tropical wave over the far
eastern Atlantic. The associated thunderstorm activity continues
to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression or
tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while
the system moves generally westward over the eastern tropical
Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should
monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development,
this system is likely to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty
winds to portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the
next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Tropical Storm Karen.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/2100Z 12.9N 62.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 13.7N 63.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 14.9N 64.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 16.3N 65.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
48H 24/1800Z 18.0N 65.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
72H 25/1800Z 21.5N 65.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
96H 26/1800Z 24.3N 65.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 27/1800Z 26.0N 66.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Grenada and its dependencies
* St. Vincent and the Grenadines
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* British Virgin Islands
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of Karen.
A turn
toward the northwest is forecast to occur later tonight or on
Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the
forecast track, the center of Karen will continue to move away from
the Windward Islands this evening, and then move across the eastern
Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to
pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations through Wednesday:
Windward Islands...3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches.
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6
inches.
Leeward Islands...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches.
Far northeast Venezuela and Barbados...1 to 3 inches.
These rains may cause flash flooding and mudslides, especially in
mountainous areas. Everyone from FL. To LA. Should keep up with what's going on with this storm, it could become a hurricane by the time it gets to the U.S. mainlands.
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